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2024-12-13 23:01:28

UN Secretary-General Guterres: We have the responsibility to make every effort to support different Syrian leaders and ensure that they come together.British Prime Minister's Spokesperson: British Prime Minister Stamer will meet with Apple CEO Cook to discuss investment.After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.


S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 index futures continued their pre-market gains after the data was released.Polish and Estonian Prime Ministers held talks to discuss regional security and other issues. Polish Prime Minister Tusk met with Estonian Prime Minister michal in Warsaw on December 11th, local time. The two countries discussed the issues of aid to Ukraine, regional security and cooperation, and Poland's taking over the rotating presidency of the European Union. Michal pointed out at a news conference that it is necessary for NATO member countries to spend more than 2.5% of their gross domestic product (GDP) on defense, and Estonia has already exceeded 2% of GDP in 2022. Michal pointed out that NATO countries are still lacking in air defense and ammunition production capacity, which must be solved quickly. Tusk said that he shared the same attitude with michal on regional security and aid to Ukraine, and he hoped that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine could be ended in a way acceptable to all. (CCTV News)Broadcom US stocks rose 3.6% before the market, while Apple US stocks rose 0.3% before the market. In the news, Apple is cooperating with Broadcom around artificial intelligence (AI) chips.


When the Fed became cautious about cutting interest rates, the inflation rate in the United States rose to 2.7% in November, and the inflation rate in the United States rose to 2.7% in November, which was in line with economists' expectations and higher than the level of 2.6% in October. The data highlights people's concerns about sticky inflation after inflation rose in October. It is widely expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the third time in a row next week, but the pace of interest rate cuts next year is uncertain, because the Fed is striving to achieve the dual mission of keeping the inflation rate close to 2% and maintaining a healthy labor market. As interest rates reach a more "neutral" level, that is, high enough to curb inflation but low enough to protect the labor market, officials have discussed slowing down the pace of interest rate cuts. They say that if we act too fast, inflation may stay above the 2% target, but if we act too slowly, the unemployment rate may rise sharply.MacKenzie, analyst: With the possibility of interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, the yield of US Treasury bonds headed by two-year treasury bonds only slightly declined. Therefore, the market seems to be quite satisfied with the prospect of the Fed cutting interest rates again and then suspending it early next year.OPEC Monthly Report: The recent steady economic growth trend is still continuing. The OPEC Monthly Report points out that in recent months, the steady economic growth trend is still continuing, especially in the United States, Brazil and Russia. In addition, China's stimulus measures and India's sustained growth momentum have contributed to supporting global economic growth. With these developments, the global economic growth in 2024 is expected to be 3.1%. The strong economic growth momentum is expected to continue until 2025 and is expected to reach 3.0%. However, the healthy growth observed in the United States during 2024 is expected to slow down slightly in 2025. However, the current growth forecast may be affected by the potential new policy measures being discussed by the incoming US government, such as trade tariffs, which will also affect the growth of US trading partner economies. In the euro zone, the recovery will continue gradually in the third quarter of 2024, but the improvement in the fourth quarter and 2025 is expected to be limited. Japan is expected to rebound in the second half of 2024 and continue until 2025, after a challenging period.

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